Market Watch June 2024

Despite the summer heat the Waterloo Region housing market is cooling with a decrease in home sales in June, while the number of homes for sale is rising. The Bank of Canada rate decrease did not bring — what some predicted — home buyers flooding back into the market. Although B of C rates have little effect on long term mortgage rates more cuts may restore confidence in the economy.

In the Toronto market the sales to new listing ratio is at 40.3%. The B of C considers anything under 40% indicative of a buyers market. 

In Waterloo Region, the average number of days to sell in June was 18. 

Don’t let summer distractions get in the way, now may be a good time to act. If you are looking to buy or sell and have questions you’d like answered, contact me now! Get it sold and move forward with confidence!

Below are June’s Market Reports for Waterloo Region and the GTA.

Enjoy!

WATERLOO REGION HOUSING MARKET SEES COOLING TREND

WATERLOO REGION, ON (July 4, 2024) —In June, a total of 674 homes were sold in the Waterloo Region via the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System of the Cornerstone Association of REALTORS® (Cornerstone). This represents a decrease of 13.7 per cent compared to the same period last year and a decline of 24.8 per cent compared to the average number of homes sold in the previous ten years for the same month.

“The Waterloo Region housing market is cooling, with a year-over-year decrease in home sales in June, while the number of homes for sale is rising, offering more inventory to buyers,” says Christal Moura, Cornerstone spokesperson for the Waterloo Region market area.”

Total residential sales in June included 424 detached (down 9.6 per cent from June 2023), and 136 townhouses (down 8.7 per cent). Sales also included 66 condominium units (down 44.5 per cent) and 47 semi-detached homes (up 14.6 per cent).

In June, the average sale price for all residential properties in Waterloo Region was $790,945. This represents a 5.8 per cent decrease compared to June 2023 and a 3.3 per cent decrease compared to May 2024.

    • The average price of a detached home was $900,307. This represents a 10.3 per cent decrease from June 2023 and a decrease of 4.6 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • The average sale price for a townhouse was $663,642. This represents a 0.6 per cent decrease from June 2023 and an increase of 2.0 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • The average sale price for an apartment-style condominium was $462,145. This represents a decrease of 1.8 per cent from June 2023 and an increase of 0.5 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • The average sale price for a semi was $649,353. This represents a decrease of 6.7 per cent compared to June 2023 and a decrease of 7.2 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • “The average selling price for residential properties has decreased by 5.8 per cent since June 2023, with detached homes showing the most significant drop at 10.3 percent. This indicates a broader softness in the market,” says Moura. “The silver lining is this presents a more favourable pricing environment for buyers, with more choices, greater flexibility, and the potential to negotiate better deals.”
    • There were 1,431 new listings added to the MLS® System in Waterloo Region last month, an increase of 7.6 per cent compared to June last year and a 10.6 per cent increase compared to the previous ten-year average for June.
    • The total number of homes available for sale in active status at the end of June was 1,790, an increase of 75.5 per cent compared to June of last year and 31.9 per cent above the previous ten-year average of 1,357 listings for June.
    • Market-wide inventory levels were up 73.7 per cent, with 3.3 months’ supply for all property types at the end of June. The property type that gained the most inventory was the condo apartment segment, which increased by 103.1 percent. That amounts to 6.5 months’ supply for condo apartments, 2.8 months for detached homes, and 3.2 months for townhouses. The number of months of inventory represents the amount of time it would take to sell off current inventories at the current sales rate.
    • The average number of days to sell in June was 18, compared to 15 days in June 2023. The previous 5-year average is 15 days.

WATERLOO REGION HOUSING MARKET SEES COOLING TREND

WATERLOO REGION, ON (July 4, 2024) —In June, a total of 674 homes were sold in the Waterloo Region via the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System of the Cornerstone Association of REALTORS® (Cornerstone). This represents a decrease of 13.7 per cent compared to the same period last year and a decline of 24.8 per cent compared to the average number of homes sold in the previous ten years for the same month.

“The Waterloo Region housing market is cooling, with a year-over-year decrease in home sales in June, while the number of homes for sale is rising, offering more inventory to buyers,” says Christal Moura, Cornerstone spokesperson for the Waterloo Region market area.”

Total residential sales in June included 424 detached (down 9.6 per cent from June 2023), and 136 townhouses (down 8.7 per cent). Sales also included 66 condominium units (down 44.5 per cent) and 47 semi-detached homes (up 14.6 per cent).

In June, the average sale price for all residential properties in Waterloo Region was $790,945. This represents a 5.8 per cent decrease compared to June 2023 and a 3.3 per cent decrease compared to May 2024.

    • The average price of a detached home was $900,307. This represents a 10.3 per cent decrease from June 2023 and a decrease of 4.6 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • The average sale price for a townhouse was $663,642. This represents a 0.6 per cent decrease from June 2023 and an increase of 2.0 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • The average sale price for an apartment-style condominium was $462,145. This represents a decrease of 1.8 per cent from June 2023 and an increase of 0.5 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • The average sale price for a semi was $649,353. This represents a decrease of 6.7 per cent compared to June 2023 and a decrease of 7.2 per cent compared to May 2024.
    • “The average selling price for residential properties has decreased by 5.8 per cent since June 2023, with detached homes showing the most significant drop at 10.3 percent. This indicates a broader softness in the market,” says Moura. “The silver lining is this presents a more favourable pricing environment for buyers, with more choices, greater flexibility, and the potential to negotiate better deals.”
    • There were 1,431 new listings added to the MLS® System in Waterloo Region last month, an increase of 7.6 per cent compared to June last year and a 10.6 per cent increase compared to the previous ten-year average for June.
    • The total number of homes available for sale in active status at the end of June was 1,790, an increase of 75.5 per cent compared to June of last year and 31.9 per cent above the previous ten-year average of 1,357 listings for June.
    • Market-wide inventory levels were up 73.7 per cent, with 3.3 months’ supply for all property types at the end of June. The property type that gained the most inventory was the condo apartment segment, which increased by 103.1 percent. That amounts to 6.5 months’ supply for condo apartments, 2.8 months for detached homes, and 3.2 months for townhouses. The number of months of inventory represents the amount of time it would take to sell off current inventories at the current sales rate.
    • The average number of days to sell in June was 18, compared to 15 days in June 2023. The previous 5-year average is 15 days.

TRREB: JUNE HOME BUYERS EYEING FURTHER INTEREST RATE RELIEF.

TORONTO, ONTARIO, July 4, 2024 – June 2024 home sales in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) were lower compared to the same month last year, according to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB). Despite the Bank of Canada rate cut at the beginning of last month, many buyers kept their home purchase decisions on hold. The market remained wellsupplied, resulting in a slight dip in the average selling price compared to June 2023.

“The Bank of Canada’s rate cut last month provided some initial relief for homeowners and home buyers. However, the June sales result suggests that most home buyers will require multiple rate cuts before they move off the sidelines. This follows Ipsos polling for TRREB, which suggested that cumulative rate cuts of 100 basis points or more are required to boost home sales by any significant amount,” said TRREB President Jennifer Pearce.

GTA REALTORS® reported 6,213 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in June 2024 – a 16.4 per cent decline compared to 7,429 sales reported in June 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 17,964 – up by 12.3 per cent year-over-year.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 4.6 per cent on a year-overyear basis in June 2024. The average selling price of $1,162,167 was down by 1.6 per cent over the June 2023 result of $1,181,002. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, both the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price were up compared to May 2024.

“The GTA housing market is currently well-supplied. Recent home buyers have benefitted from substantial choice and therefore negotiating power on price. Moving forward, as sales pick up alongside lower borrowing costs, elevated inventory levels will help mitigate against a quick runup in selling prices,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“Despite a temporary dip in home sales due to high interest rates, we know that strong population growth is driving long-term demand for ownership and rental housing. Ontario has set the goal of 1.5 million more homes on the ground by 2031. This is only possible if all levels of government ensure actionable solutions with sustained effort, including continuing to remove red tape, avoiding financial barriers to home construction, and minimizing housing taxes and development charges,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele

If you are thinking of selling in the fall or winter now is the time to capture the lush greens enhancing your home. Contact me now to schedule your professional photo shoot.

If you are considering buying or selling, contact me anytime to answer your questions, big or small. I’m here to help!

Move forward with confidence!

Lance Nielsen
519-748-7057
Lance@LanceNielsen.com

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