Market Watch November 2024
First I’d like to wish you and your family a Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays, and the best in the New Year. I hope you have a fantastic time with family and friends.
In November 2024, the Waterloo Region real estate market showed signs of coming back to life, with 539 homes sold through the MLS® System, representing a 21.1% increase from the previous year.
Despite this reported growth, it’s important to note sales remained below the ten-year average.
The average residential property price settled at $754,604, with slight variations across different property types.
Detached homes averaged $862,690, while townhouses and semi-detached homes saw modest price increases.
The market experienced a significant boost in inventory, with 1,565 homes available for sale which is a 20% increase from November 2023, providing more options for potential buyers. There are favorable conditions for buyers, particularly with upcoming mortgage reforms (Dec 15th which is a Sunday so it will actually be the 16th) expanding opportunities for first-time home buyers and those purchasing new construction.
It is interesting and odd though that bidding wars continue on many homes in this type off market.
The average time to sell a home remained consistent at 27 days.
Many buyers and sellers still wait on the sidelines to see where rates, the economy, and the political landscape ends up going. The problem with this strategy is if the market picks up there will be more competition.
Friday this week it was announced that unemployment has jumped to 6.8%. Bets are now the BoC will cut by 50 basis points instead of the projected 25.
If you are looking to buy or sell and have questions you’d like answered, contact me now! Sell and move forward with confidence!
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Below are November’s Market Reports for Waterloo Region and the GTA.
Enjoy!
Lance
NOVEMBER HOME SALES IN WATERLOO REGION UP OVER LAST YEAR.
WATERLOO REGION, ON (December 4, 2024) —In November, a total of 539 homes were sold in the Waterloo Region via the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System of the Cornerstone Association of REALTORS® (Cornerstone). This represents a 21.1 per cent increase compared to the same period last year and a decline of 13.1 per cent compared to the average number of homes sold in the previous ten years for the same month.
“Home sales in the Waterloo Region experienced a substantial increase in November compared to last year. However, sales were down from the previous month and remain below the historical averages for the area,” said Christal Moura, spokesperson for the Waterloo Region market. “November has shown more balanced conditions, and the increase in available homes has benefited buyers, giving them more options.”
Total residential sales in November included 331 detached homes (up 23.5 per cent from November 2023), and 113 townhouses (up 37.8 per cent). Sales also included 51 condominium units (down 17.7 per cent) and 44 semi-detached homes (up 37.5 per cent).
In November, the average sale price for all residential properties in Waterloo Region was $754,604. This represents a 0.2 per cent decrease compared to November 2023 and a 3.3 per cent decrease compared to October 2024.
- The average price of a detached home was $862,690. This represents a 3.1per cent decrease from November 2023 and a decrease of 2.6 per cent compared to October 2024.
- The average sale price for a townhouse was $615,222. This represents a 0.9 per cent increase from November 2023 and a decrease of 4.9 per cent compared to October 2024.
- The average sale price for an apartment-style condominium was $452,732. This represents a 0.5 per cent increase from November 2023 and a decrease of 6.2 per cent compared to October 2024.
- The average sale price for a semi was $643,672. This represents an increase of 4.5 per cent compared to November 2023 and a decrease of 1.0 per cent compared to October 2024.
“Current market conditions, marked by increased inventory and stable prices, suggest that now might be a good time to buy,” says Moura. “This is especially true for those who can take advantage of lower interest rates and recent mortgage reforms. These reforms expand eligibility for 30-year mortgage amortizations to all first-time homebuyers and buyers of new construction. Additionally, a higher limit on insured mortgages will take effect on December 15, 2024.”
There were 889 new listings added to the MLS® System in Waterloo Region last month, an increase of 2.4 per cent compared to November last year and an 18.4 per cent increase compared to the previous ten-year average for November.
The total number of homes available for sale in active status at the end of November was 1,565 an increase of 20.0 per cent compared to November of last year and 57.8 per cent above the previous ten-year average of 992 listings for November.
The total inventory across the market increased by 16.7 percent, resulting in a 2.8 month supply of all property types by the end of November. Condominium apartments had the highest inventory, with 5.9 months’ supply, followed by townhouses with 3.9 months’ supply and detached homes with 2.0 months’ supply. The number of months of inventory represents the time it would take to sell off current inventories at the current sales rate.
The average time to sell a home in November was 27 days, consistent with the previous month. In November 2023, it took 24 days for a home to sell, and the five-year average was 19 days.
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TRREB: GTA HOME SALES UP SUBSTANTIALLY IN NOVEMBER
TORONTO, ONTARIO, December 4, 2024 – Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales increased strongly on a year-over-year basis in November 2024. Many buyers benefited from more affordable market conditions brought about by lower borrowing costs. New listings were also up compared to November 2023, but by a much lesser annual rate. This meant that market conditions tightened, resulting in overall average price growth compared to last year.
“As we approach the end of 2024, I am pleased to report an improvement in housing market conditions. Many home buyers patiently waited on the sidelines for reduced inflation and lower borrowing costs. With selling prices remaining well off their historic peak and monthly mortgage payments trending lower, the stage is set for an accelerating market recovery in 2025,” said Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Jennifer Pearce.
GTA REALTORS® reported 5,875 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in November 2024 – up by 40.1 per cent compared to 4,194 sales reported in November 2023. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 11,592 – up by 6.6 per cent year-over-year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, November sales were up month-over-month compared to October.
The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 1.2 per cent year-over year in November 2024 – a much lesser annual rate of decline compared to previous months. The average selling price was up by 2.6 per cent compared to November 2023 to $1,106,050. Year-over-year average price growth was greater than that for the HPI Composite benchmark because of a greater weighting of detached home sales compared to last year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average selling price edged slightly lower compared to October.
“Market conditions have tightened, particularly for single-family homes. The detached market segment experienced average annual price growth above the rate of inflation, particularly in the City of Toronto. In contrast, the condominium apartment segment continued to experience lower average selling prices compared to a year ago. Condo buyers are benefiting from a lot of choice and therefore negotiating power. This will attract renter households into home ownership as borrowing costs trend lower in the months ahead,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.
While the rental market will remain relatively well-supplied as more renters transition to home ownership, expect rental demand to pick up as population growth remains high. The rental market could strengthen for both tenants and landlords by reducing the backlog of cases at the Landlord and Tenant Board (LTB).
“Reforming the LTB to make it faster and fairer will go a long way to getting more individuals and families into homes they can afford,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.
A recent Ipsos public poll for TRREB found that 93 per cent of GTA respondents support the government taking immediate action to reduce the backlog of 53,000 LTB cases as identified in
the most recent Tribunals Ontario Annual Report; 94 per cent agree that a well-functioning LTB is critical to Ontario’s housing market, and a further 89 per cent endorse investments in staffing, technology, and streamlined processes at the LTB to ensure timely resolutions for landlords and tenants.
“The Ipsos poll makes it clear that across all political perspectives, there is a strong mandate for immediate action to reduce the backlog, invest in better processes, and restore confidence and fairness to the rental housing market,” continued DiMichele. The province has started this important work and TRREB is eager to support their efforts by releasing our ten recommendations found in our report Breaking the Backlog: Restoring Fairness and Justice to Ontario’s Landlord and Tenant Board.
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Sell and move forward with confidence!
Lance Nielsen
519-748-7057
Lance@LanceNielsen.com